Saudi Arabia’s official reserve assets highest in 19 months at $467.76bn

Saudi Arabia’s official reserve assets highest in 19 months at $467.76bn
Saudi Arabia has one of the highest reserve coverage ratios among Fitch-rated sovereigns. Shutterstock
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Updated 15 August 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s official reserve assets highest in 19 months at $467.76bn

Saudi Arabia’s official reserve assets highest in 19 months at $467.76bn
  • Holdings include monetary gold, SDRs, IMF’s reserve position and foreign reserves
  • International currency holdings made up 95% of the total, amounting to SR1.66 trillion in June

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s official reserve assets reached SR1.754 trillion ($467.5 billion) in June, the highest in 19 months and a 5.54 percent increase year-on-year, according to new data. 

The Saudi Central Bank, known as SAMA, reported that these holdings include monetary gold, special drawing rights, the International Monetary Fund’s reserve position, and foreign reserves. 

International currency holdings, which contain currency and deposits abroad and investments in foreign securities, made up 95 percent of the total, amounting to SR1.66 trillion in June. This category also saw a 6 percent increase during this period. 

Saudi Arabia has one of the highest reserve coverage ratios among Fitch-rated sovereigns, standing at 16.5 months of current external payments, according to an agency report published in February. 

This ratio indicates the country’s robust ability to meet its external financial obligations for an extended period, reflecting strong economic stability and prudent management of its foreign exchange holdings. 

 

 

This high level of reserves provides a significant buffer against external shocks and underpins investor confidence in the Saudi economy. 
June data showed that special drawing rights, making up 4 percent of the total at SR77.24 billion, decreased by 1.3 percent. 

Created by the IMF to supplement member countries’ official reserves, SDRs derive their value from a basket of major currencies, including the US dollar, euro, Chinese yuan, Japanese yen, and British pound sterling. They can be exchanged among governments for freely usable currencies when needed. 

SDRs provide additional liquidity, stabilize exchange rates, act as a unit of account, and facilitate international trade and financial stability. 

The IMF reserve position totaled SR13.33 billion but decreased by 11 percent during this period. This category represents the amount a country can draw from the IMF without conditions. 

Since its inception in 1952, SAMA has been managing foreign exchange reserves, with significant scale management beginning in the 1970s. 

According to the Bank for International Settlements, SAMA’s reserves management has evolved as it accumulated holdings and gained expertise over time. 

It has also developed internal models to validate reserve adequacy and assess reserve requirements, taking into consideration global practices and incorporating specific macroeconomic factors relevant to Saudi Arabia. 

These models are regularly back-tested to ensure their reliability. 

According to the BIS, SAMA has three primary investment objectives: preserving capital, maintaining liquidity, and achieving returns compatible with its risk appetite. 


GCC economies set for 4.4% growth in 2025, report forecasts

GCC economies set for 4.4% growth in 2025, report forecasts
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GCC economies set for 4.4% growth in 2025, report forecasts

GCC economies set for 4.4% growth in 2025, report forecasts

RIYADH: The Gulf Cooperation Council is expected to see its economies expand by 4.4 percent in 2025, driven by growth in the non-oil private sector, according to a new report. 

Analysis by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales attributes this projected growth to both the rebound in oil production cuts by OPEC and the GCC’s ongoing diversification efforts. 

This comes as countries across the Gulf, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE, intensify diversification efforts, with the Kingdom’s General Authority for Statistics reporting a 4.9 percent increase in non-oil sector activity in the second quarter of 2024. 

The findings in the report are based on research from Oxford Economics, and Scott Livermore, ICAEW economic adviser and chief economist and managing director at Oxford Economics Middle East, said: “The GCC’s proactive and strategic investment in non-oil sectors, alongside the gradual recovery of oil production, is paving the way for robust growth in 2025, where the resilience of the GCC stands out.” 

The report revised the GCC growth forecast for 2024 slightly down to 2.1 percent, from its previous projection of 2.2 percent made three months ago. However, the non-energy sector is projected to grow by 4.2 percent in 2024 and 4.4 percent in 2025. 

Overall, the analysis forecasts Middle Eastern gross domestic product growth at 2.1 percent in 2024, accelerating to 3.7 percent in 2025. 

The report further noted that PMI readings across the region indicate strong business growth, with anticipated interest rate cuts expected to boost consumption and private investment. 

It added that tourism, trade, and finance will be key sectors driving future growth. 

“Domestic momentum remains strong across the region, as highlighted by higher output in PMI surveys and the coming interest rate reductions should support both consumption and private investment,” said the report. 

The document added that governments in the region will continue to advance diversification plans, with sovereign wealth funds, including Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund and UAE’s Mubadala, likely to remain strategic spenders. 

A recent PwC analysis indicated that easing interest rates will benefit Middle Eastern economies, particularly those with currencies pegged to the US dollar. 


Saudi Arabia approves new commercial registration, trade name laws

Saudi Arabia approves new commercial registration, trade name laws
Updated 10 min 56 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia approves new commercial registration, trade name laws

Saudi Arabia approves new commercial registration, trade name laws

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia has approved new laws for commercial registration and trade names, aiming to streamline business operations and improve the overall working environment.

The endorsements were announced at the weekly Cabinet session in Riyadh on Sept. 17, chaired by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

The Kingdom’s trade industry witnessed 104,000 commercial registrations in the first quarter of 2024, marking a 59 percent year-on-year growth, as the Ministry of Commerce issued 65,363 permits during the same period in 2023.

Some 44 percent of those awarded in the first three months of the year were assigned to women, according to the quarterly business sector bulletin.

The spike in numbers brings the total number of certificates issued to more than 1.45 million across all country regions.

The Minister of Commerce, Majid bin Abdullah Al-Qasabi, commented that approving the commercial register and trade name regulations aims to facilitate business operations and reduce burdens on commercial establishments by providing a single national business registration.

“It also organizes the procedures for reserving and registering trade names to protect and enhance their value, aligning with the economic and technological advancements outlined in Vision 2030,” Al-Qasabi said in a post on his X account.

The Minister of Municipalities and Housing, Majed Al-Hogail, said that issuing the new commercial registration and trade names systems is a key enabler for businesses to facilitate operations and enhance transparency.

He added in his post on X: “This step reflects an ambitious vision toward a more advanced and prosperous business environment under Saudi Vision 2030.”

Abdulrahman Al-Hussein, spokesman for the Ministry of Commerce, stated that the new commercial registration system has been designed based on the best international practices.

Explaining the advantages of the new commercial registration system, Al-Hussein said that these include that business owners can now have a single registration, regardless of the number of activities or businesses they manage across the country.

He added that the business registers will remain valid for an unlimited or unspecified period as long as the owners fulfill the requirement of annually updating the information of their establishments.

The spokesman further emphasized that every business is required to have a designated bank account for handling all its financial transactions.

Regarding existing sub-registers, Al-Hussein said that their owners will have a five-year grace period to resolve their status by either transferring or canceling their registrations.

The Cabinet also approved the real estate transaction tax system along with various decisions taken by the Ministerial Council.


Kuwait trade surplus with Japan hits $543m

Kuwait trade surplus with Japan hits $543m
Updated 18 September 2024
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Kuwait trade surplus with Japan hits $543m

Kuwait trade surplus with Japan hits $543m

RIYADH: Kuwait’s trade surplus with Japan rose 15 percent year on year to 76.9 billion Japanese yen ($542.8 million) in August, official data showed. 

This marks the first increase in two months, driven by a surge in Kuwaiti exports to Japan, according to a preliminary report by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. 

The Gulf nation has maintained a trade surplus with Japan for 16 years and seven months. 

Kuwaiti exports to Japan grew by 11.8 percent in August to 98.4 billion yen, rebounding after two months of declines. Meanwhile, Kuwaiti imports from Japan rose for the fourth consecutive month, increasing by 1.9 percent to 21.5 billion yen. 

In contrast, the Middle East’s overall trade surplus with Japan fell by 4.8 percent to 852.2 billion yen in August, as exports from the region dropped by 1 percent compared to the previous year. 

Shipments of oil, refined products, liquefied natural gas, and other natural resources, which account for 94.7 percent of the region’s exports to Japan, declined by 2.3 percent. 

Imports from Japan to the Middle East, however, rose by 12.8 percent, driven by higher demand for cars and machinery. 

Japan, the world’s third-largest economy, recorded a trade deficit for the second consecutive month in August, totaling 695.3 billion yen. This was influenced by the ongoing depreciation of the yen, which has continued to push up the cost of imports. 

Japan’s exports rose 5.6 percent, supported by shipments of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, while imports increased by 2.3 percent, fueled by rising costs of pharmaceuticals and petroleum products, exacerbated by the weaker yen against the dollar. 

In the energy sector, Japan imported 62.54 million barrels of oil in June, with 96.3 percent or 60.26 million barrels, sourced from the Arab region, as reported by the Agency of Natural Resources and Energy of Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry in July. 

Saudi Arabia and the UAE dominated Japan’s oil imports, with Saudi Arabia contributing 25.82 million barrels, representing 41.3 percent of the total, and the UAE providing almost the same share with 25.84 million barrels. 

Kuwait was a significant contributor to Japan’s oil imports in June, supplying 5.21 million barrels, or 8.3 percent of the total. 

Other key suppliers included Qatar, with 2.44 million barrels, accounting for 3.9 percent, and Oman, with about half a million barrels, making up 0.8 percent. 

With Japan continuing its ban on importing oil from Iran and Russia in June, the remaining shipments of the fuel were sourced from the US at 1.4 percent, Central and South America at 1.6 percent, Southeast Asia at 0.5 percent, and Oceania at 0.2 percent. 

China remains Japan’s largest trading partner, followed by the US. 


Transport, furniture sectors lead spending as food tops Saudi POS transactions

Transport, furniture sectors lead spending as food tops Saudi POS transactions
Updated 18 September 2024
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Transport, furniture sectors lead spending as food tops Saudi POS transactions

Transport, furniture sectors lead spending as food tops Saudi POS transactions

RIYADH: Furniture and transport spending in Saudi Arabia registered the highest weekly point-of-sales increases from Sept. 8 to 14, according to central bank data.

The weekly bulletin released by the bank, also known as SAMA, revealed that spending on furniture rose to SR314.3 million ($83.74 million), marking a 1.6 percent increase for the week, while expenditure on transportation came in at SR767.6 million – up 1.3 percent on the previous seven days.

The food and beverages sector preserved the biggest share of the POS data at SR1.84 billion, followed by restaurants and cafes at SR1.80 billion and miscellaneous goods and services at 1.46 billion.

Spending in the top three largest categories accounted for SR5.1 billion out of this week’s total value.

The overall value of the POS dipped for the second week in a row, dropping by 8.6 percent compared to the previous week to reach SR12.2 billion.

The latest figures showed that spending in the education sector continued to lead the dip, recording the highest decrease at 43.3 percent, with total transactions reaching SR165 million.

This week marks one month of constant declines in the education sector, after surging for four consecutive weeks, coinciding with the start of the academic year on August 18.

During the first week of September, spending on telecommunication saw the second-largest decline at 18.7 percent to SR98.2 million.

Spending on culture and recreation recorded the third biggest dip with a 15.9 percent negative change, reaching SR246.7 million. 

Expenditure on construction materials and electronic devices recorded the smallest decline at 0.4 percent each, reaching SR348.5 million and SR208.8 million, respectively.

Geographically, Riyadh dominated POS transactions, representing 34.8 percent of the total, with spending in the capital reaching SR4.2 billion — a 6.7 percent decrease from the previous week. 

Jeddah followed with a 6.8 percent decline to SR1.7 billion, accounting for 13.9 percent of the total, and Dammam came in third at SR620.4 million, down 6.3 percent.

Abha saw the largest decrease in spending, down by 13.1 percent to SR152.4 million. Tabuk and Hail also experienced downsticks, with expenditure dipping 13 percent and 11.7 percent to SR230.5 million and SR189.2 million, respectively. 

In terms of the number of transactions, Abha recorded the highest decrease at 4.6 percent, reaching 3,195. Khobar recorded the smallest decrease at 2 percent, reaching 4,373 transactions.


Oil prices set to snap two-day winning streak ahead of Fed decision

Oil prices set to snap two-day winning streak ahead of Fed decision
Updated 18 September 2024
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Oil prices set to snap two-day winning streak ahead of Fed decision

Oil prices set to snap two-day winning streak ahead of Fed decision

TOKYO: Oil prices fell on Wednesday after two sessions of gains, as weak macroeconomic data weighed on demand, offsetting the possible disruption of violence in the Middle East and the potentially bullish impact of an expected US rates cut.

Brent crude futures for November were down 49 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $73.21 a barrel, as of 9:43 a.m. Saudi time. US crude futures for October slid 50 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $70.69 a barrel.

“Weak macroeconomic data are deepening oil demand concerns. Money managers have turned net negative for the first time since 2011. End of the peak summer demand is also weighing on the market sentiment,” analysts at ANZ said in a note.

Prices found some support from the risk increased violence in the oil-producing Middle East could disrupt supply after Israel allegedly attacked militant group Hezbollah with explosive-laden pagers in Lebanon.

“Investors are focusing on Fed’s likely rate cuts, which could revitalize US fuel demand and weaken the dollar,” said Mitsuru Muraishi, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities.

Traders kept bets that the Fed will start an anticipated series of interest rate reduction with a half-percentage-point move downward on Wednesday, an expectation that may put pressure on central bankers to deliver that.

Hezbollah promised to retaliate against Israel after the pagers detonated across Lebanon on Tuesday, killing at least eight people and wounding nearly 3,000 others, including fighters and Iran’s envoy to Beirut.

The market found further support from the expectation of US oil purchases for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories fell by about 500,000 barrels last week. The US Energy Information Administration’s report is due on Wednesday at 5:30 p.m. Saudi time.